Baseball baseball

(Rosenthal) Free-agent reliever Luke Gregerson in agreement with #STLCards on two-year, $11M contract with a vesting option, sources tell The Athletic. Deal is pending a physical.

(Rosenthal) Free-agent reliever Luke Gregerson in agreement with #STLCards on two-year, $11M cont...

He wasn't great the last year, but he was really good the two years before, money in the 2015 and 2017 playoffs, and we don't make the playoffs in 2015 without him. Good luck in STL, Luke.

Anyone can help this bullpen fire I'm thankful for this

That seems really cheap for him. Good signing.

Remember, Luke. The force will be with you. Always.

[Heyman] Major press conference planned for Giancarlo and yankees tomorrow in Orlando to kick off winter meetings.

[Heyman] Major press conference planned for Giancarlo and yankees tomorrow in Orlando to kick off...

I wonder what's going on? What could the news be

Did you guys hear Stanton got traded??

I think that asian kid signed with anaheim, that might be it

Can't wait to see Stanton hold up that #98 Jersey

[Fink]The Marlins, according to FanRag Sports, sent an email looking for more investors in the team, as they are allegedly $250 million short in terms of funding for their team.

[Fink]The Marlins, according to FanRag Sports, sent an email looking for more investors in the te...

Jeter :"We don't have enough money to buy the team and run it successfully "

Mas: "Ya but we do"

MLB:"Ok Jeets its urs"

Mas: " :/ "

MLB approved a sale to a bunch of relative poors

Mark Cuban would have probably bought them too if allowed.

He was the highest bidder for the Cubs.

How did the MLB approve this sale?

On this day Dec 9 2013 Roy Halladay signed a one day contract to retire as a Blue Jay

On this day Dec 9 2013 Roy Halladay signed a one day contract to retire as a Blue Jay

Now I'm sad.

RIP to one of the greatest ever. It’s really a shame what happened. Couldn’t believe the news when I️ first heard it.

Great, it's gonna be one of those 'stay-in-and-cry' Saturdays.

That's a fair opinion. But he wanted to retire in the blue jays uniform considering how much the organization meant to him and it's not like he could play so in my opinion he did retire a blue jay for all intents and purposes

[Morosi] Evan Longoria is certain to be mentioned as a trade candidate in the coming week. When that happens, remember this: He leads MLB with 798 games played over the last 5 seasons. He hasn’t spent a day on the DL during that span.

[Morosi] Evan Longoria is certain to be mentioned as a trade candidate in the coming week. When t...

I can't see it... or I don't want to. He's like the original Ray

Edit: that being said Colome is gone as shit

Will the Rays finally pull the trigger

I swear to god, I don't care if we have to trot a team of just KK and Longo, DO NOT TOUCH MR. RAY

Come to the Padres! You haven't had a day off in five years. In San Diego, every day feels like a day off.

Angels formally introduce Shohei Ohtani

Angels formally introduce Shohei Ohtani

I'm going to watch this for the same reason Vader choses to live on Mustafar

So angels fans what is his nickname going to be?

My suggestion is "Sho Time"

Ohtani-San

Fuck I want the season to start already.

[LA Times] “I don’t anticipate him playing outfield this season,” Billy Eppler said of Ohtani.

[LA Times] “I don’t anticipate him playing outfield this season,” Billy Eppler said of Ohtani.

Ohtani obviously has to be on board with that decision, unless the Angels bamboozled him

I doubt Ohtani signed a contract without bamboozle insurance.

But for real he hasn't played OF in like a couple years IIRC so I'd imagine he's aware of and on board with this.

GM of the Angels. lmao

I think you’re way better off with him only DHing and let Pujols play first once in a while if you 100% have to give him playing time.

Shohei Ohtani was asked why he chose to wear number 17 over number 11

Shohei Ohtani was asked why he chose to wear number 17 over number 11

Ohtani responded by saying

“I actually wanted to wear number 27 but somebody else was wearing that number”

Then proceeded to crack a huge smile.

Mike Trout & Shohei Ohtani are already BFFs

Rivalry ended with Mike Trout. Now Shohei Ohtani is my new archrival.

Hey did you guys hear that the Seattle sounders lost in the MLS finals today

Dude what the fuck. Just leave us alone.

Will you now randomly say "Fuck Shohei Ohtani" instead of "Fuck Mike Trout"?

Here at the Shohei Ohtani press conference!

Here at the Shohei Ohtani press conference!

It's real, it's real, he's really there at our place wearing our uniform in real life not just in photoshop. I still can't handle it.

i have diarrhea

Eppler hit us with the “Ohtani Son”

Edit: Im already a disgrace

Ohtani-San

Oh look, another insufferable Yankees fan.

With the addition of Giancarlo Stanton, each time through the Yankees lineup, there is a 35% chance someone will hit a home run (math inside)

With the addition of Giancarlo Stanton, each time through the Yankees lineup, there is a 35% chance someone will hit a home run (math inside)

The probability of an event occurring "at least once" in a series of attempts is kind of weird, but basically the idea is that in order to calculate it, you use Probability it happens at least once = 1 - Probability it doesn't happen. Meaning, in order to calculate the probability someone in the lineup hits a homerun, you calculate the probability each player doesn't hit a homerun, multiply all 9 together, then subtract that from 1. Here's a helpful explanation of the math behind it.

The Yankee's lineup will be in a bit of flux next year, as one would expect when you have question marks in the infield and two right fielders, but here's a pretty reasonable guess at what their opening day lineup might look like.

Using that, and some stats from last year:

Player PA HR Non-HR PA's Probability of non-HR Gardner 682 21 661 0.969208211 Judge 678 52 626 0.923303835 Stanton 692 59 633 0.914739884 Sanchez 525 33 492 0.937142857 Bird 170 9 161 0.947058824 Gregorius 570 25 545 0.956140351 Hicks 361 15 346 0.958448753 Headly 586 12 574 0.979522184 Torreyes 336 3 333 0.991071429

"Adding" (or multiplying, rather) the last column gives you a 0.646326 probability no one hits a home run each time through the lineup. Therefore, 1-0.646326, or 0.353674, is the probability that at least one player hits a home run each time through the lineup.

So in over one third of the Yankee's trips through the lineup, someone's gonna go yard

The amount of home runs that team is gonna hit next year is gonna be ungodly

And you have to factor in the reality that the more power hitters a team has the less likely it is that they can be pitched around.

Assuming 4 trips through the lineup per game, that means a minimum of 1 HR per game, right?

Edit with math: it would actually be a 17.45% chance of no HR over 4 trips through the lineup

Conventional wisdom says yeah, but mathematically you'd have to use the same method as before. Each time through the lineup there's a 65% chance no one hits a home run. Over 4 trips through the lineup that's .65.65.65*.65, or 0.174 chance no one hits a homerun. 1-0.174=0.826, or an 82.6% chance someone hits a home run.

So yeah, you've got an 83% chance someone dingers in any random Yankees game.

Try one of these subthreads