CFB

A Statistical Analysis of why Michigan will beat Penn State this week

A Statistical Analysis of why Michigan will beat Penn State this week

Anyone have anything? Would love some positive analysis.

Ummmm defense?

You won't see that Saturday. Watch one of your practices for that.

For real. Literally the definition of slowing down an offense right there

The team that came closest to beating PSU was Iowa, who had the 61st best defense. Michigan is statistically the best - and also has the fifth best rushing defense, which should help keep Barkley in check.

Penn State is 2-6 vs Michigan when ranked in top 10

Penn State is 2-6 vs Michigan when ranked in top 10 2008: #3 Penn State defeats unranked Michigan 46-17 2007: Unranked Michigan defeats #10 Penn State 14-9 2005: Unranked Michigan defeats #8 Penn State 27-25 1999: #16 Michigan defeats #6 Penn State 31-27 1998: #22 Michigan defeats #9 Penn State 27-0 1997: #4 Michigan defeats #2 Penn State 34-8 1994: #3 Penn State defeats #5 Michigan 31-24 1993: #18 Michigan defeats #7 Penn State 21-13

So you are telling me there's a chance?

Also:

Penn State is 2-1 vs Michigan when ranked in the top 5

1) everyone would always root against a top five team, regardless of who they are

2) Penn State is pretty far up there with most hated teams. For...reasons.

I like OP's version better

College football gets 1 chaos weekend per year. Will 2017 have a 2nd?

College football gets 1 chaos weekend per year. Will 2017 have a 2nd?

Between CFB and the NFL, football is so fun to watch this fall. No team is safe.

Who said this? Chaos decides when it wants to eat.

I haven't seen this much parity in the NFL or CFB for a while, it's pretty great. But as an Eagles and PSU fan, I can't help but to be scared about what's to come.

There's already been two weekends of chaos.

College Football Imperialism Map (Week 7)

College Football Imperialism Map (Week 7)

What if College Football games were actually battles for land? This map answers this question. The original map is my closest FBS team to every county, but if a team is beaten their land is taken by the team that beat them.

Map

GIF of season to this point

Top 6 Teams By Land Area

(If Alaska is excluded Arizona State falls out of top 5)

Team Area (Sq. Miles) Arizona State 686,335 Ohio State 312,945 Penn State 278,441 California 207,904 Stanford 169,002 Miami 165,353

Top 5 Teams by Number of Counties/Parishes

Team Counties Ohio State 272 Penn State 271 LSU 214 Syracuse 195 Georgia 185

Top 5 Teams by Population

Team Population California 30,990,675 Miami 28,594,701 Arizona State 27,691,272 UCF 25,740,228 Ohio State 19,972,488

Number of Territories for Each Team

Territories Teams 11 California 10 UCF Miami 8 GeorgiaSyracuse 7 LSU Penn State 6 Alabama TCUArizona State 5 Michigan State USF Ohio State 4 Iowa State Stanford 3 Memphis Oklahoma State Boise State South Alabama 2 NC StateNotre DameToledoJacksonville StateWisconsin 1 Marshall North TexasSouthern MissVirginiaWKU James Madison

Game with Both Teams of Map

Territories Counties Area Population Miami Syracuse 18 372 251,000 39,566,000

Games this week

Team on Map Betting Line Opponent Arizona State +10.5 Utah North Texas +6.5 FAU Iowa State +5 Texas Tech Memphis +3.5 Houston Southern Miss +3.5 Louisiana Tech California -1.5 Arizona Marshall -2.5 Middle Tennessee Notre Dame -3.5 USC South Alabama -5 ULM Oklahoma State -6 Texas UCF -6.5 Navy LSU -7 Ole Miss Michigan State -7 Indiana Virginia -7 Boston College WKU -10 Old Dominion USF -11 Tulane Penn State -12.5 Michigan Boise State -14 Wyoming Miami -14.5 Syracuse Wisconsin -24 Maryland Alabama -33 Tennessee TCU -38 Kansas Toledo No Line Yet Akron Jacksonville State No Line Yet Eastern Illinois James Madison No Line Yet William & Mary

Here is an FAQ if you have any questions

/u/TheChandog and /u/The_BobbumMan made this website. It makes imperialism maps for conferences as well as some other cool things!

I appreciate you for doing this every week.

IF Penn State beats Michigan then next week's PSU/OSU game has to be the biggest land battle of the year to date. I'm talking some Stark/Lannister type shit.

I'll take "Things Said by Seminoles" for $1000, Alex.

Miami vs. Syracuse for all of that sweet sweet land in week 7, just as everyone thought

[Kaufman] USC has committed 16 turnovers this season. Only three teams in the FBS have more: San Jose State (26), Oregon State (18) and BYU (17).

[Kaufman] USC has committed 16 turnovers this season. Only three teams in the FBS have more: San Jose State (26), Oregon State (18) and BYU (17).

https://twitter.com/joeyrkaufman/status/919650786694520834

San Jose State, Oregon State, and BYU have collectively won 3 games this season. The only other team with 16+ turnovers and a winning record is Washington State (who committed 7 turnovers in their blowout loss to Cal this week).

Despite the turnovers, USC's defense is keeping them in games. On 14 drives after turnovers this season, USC’s defense has allowed one touchdown and one field goal.

Ofcourse, if Sam Darnold is truly the best then he will lead in all statistical catagories. Checkmate haters.

Darnold wouldn't have it any other way

(interception)

I'm just glad to be here

Penn State opens up as 10.5 point favorite vs Michigan

Penn State opens up as 10.5 point favorite vs Michigan

Not touching this. I could see anything from UM winning 17-9 to PSU winning 38-6.

Penn State wins. Michigan covers

O'kron

Sign me up.

Alabama opens as 34 point favorite against Tennessee, the largest point spread against UT ever.

Alabama opens as 34 point favorite against Tennessee, the largest point spread against UT ever.

https://twitter.com/CecilHurt/status/919670392205299713

Yep. Tennessee Fuckin sucks.

Alabama averages 301 rushing yards per game. Tennessee is 123rd out of 130 teams in rushing yards allowed.

Only 34?

You know how everyone was saying "omg, how did OU lose to Iowa State?" According to the books, Alabama losing to Tennessee would be even worse.

It's Tennessee Hate Week!

It's Tennessee Hate Week!

“It’s that puke inside of a pumpkin orange...and I don’t like pumpkins.”

Truly one of the great wordsmiths of our time.

I thought every week was Tennessee hate week?

I've heard every single quote from this video, but I didn't know the video existed.

They low down. They dirty. They some snitches.

Week 8 graph theory: The 59-team Circle of Suck

Week 8 graph theory: The 59-team Circle of Suck

This weekend was great at lengthening the D1A Circle of Suck! It now runs through 59 teams:

Cal > Washington State > Southern Cal > Texas > Iowa State > Oklahoma > Ohio State > Indiana > Virginia > Boise State > San Diego State > Stanford > Utah > Arizona > UCLA > Texas A&M > Arkansas > New Mexico State > New Mexico > Tulsa > Houston > SMU > North Texas > Southern Miss > Louisiana-Monroe > Louisiana-Lafayette > Idaho > South Alabama > Troy > LSU > Florida > Kentucky > South Carolina > NC State > Florida State > Wake Forest > Boston College > Louisville > Purdue > Minnesota > Buffalo > Kent State > Miami (OH) > Central Michigan > Ohio > Eastern Michigan > Rutgers > Illinois > WKU > Ball State > UAB > Middle Tennessee State > Syracuse > Clemson > Virginia Tech > West Virginia > Texas Tech > Arizona State > Washington > Cal

An additional 25 teams participate in shorter Circles with the above teams. Rather than listing all possible Circles, they are shown here in alphabetical order. Perhaps they will join the longest Circle soon!

Air Force Akron Appalachian State Army Auburn Bowling Green Cincinnati Duke FAU FIU Fresno State Howard Louisiana Tech Marshall Maryland Mississippi State Nebraska Northern Illinois Northwestern Ole Miss Oregon Tulane UNLV Vanderbilt Western Michigan

Data courtesy of Massey Ratings.

I’m singing this in the tune of “Ive been everywhere”

Glad we start and end this giant human centipede

The point of a circle of suck is not to discredit the transitive property of CFB. The whole point is to prove that everyone sucks, nobody exists on purpose, nobody belongs anywhere, everybody's going to die, come watch TV.

Its a circle. everyone is in the middle.

This weekend was the first time since September 21, 1963 that Washington, Washington State, and Oregon were all held to 7 or fewer points

This weekend was the first time since September 21, 1963 that Washington, Washington State, and Oregon were all held to 7 or fewer points

Credit to /u/bakonydraco for finding this stat.

September 21, 1963

Penn State defeated Oregon 17-7

Texas Tech defeated Washington State 16-7

Air Force defeated Washington 10-7

October 13/14, 2017

Stanford defeated Oregon 49-7

California defeated Washington State 37-3

Arizona State defeated Washington 13-7

Oregon St scored the most points of any Pac-12 PNW team and was the closest to winning this weekend

Mike Leech and Chris Peterson played 2 of the worst defenses in CFB and scored a total of 10 points

Our new coach is a gift.

Fools gold my man. Colorado is bad. But we did at least look much improved/offensive play calling didn't suck ass.

Try one of these subthreads