2017-01-08

Mike Rowe Mining For Salt!

Mike Rowe Mining For Salt!

Have a browse on his Facebook sometime. Comments are full of loyal hard working tradesman often doing very dirty jobs and they can't say enough great things about Mike. Sadly you can read and feel the true pain they feel at how looked down on they are by the general public. I'm really glad we have people like Mike, he's really dedicated himself to the cause.

More #nowhitedemocrats

More #nowhitedemocrats

I mean, hey. If they want to push white people away from the party then let 'em. Go ahead and ruin their chances of ever regaining power ever again by removing a massive chunk of their voter base.

McConnell wanted full ethics review of Obama nominees before hearings

McConnell wanted full ethics review of Obama nominees before hearings
McConnell wanted full ethics review of Obama nominees before hearings

And having received a complete review as requested, Sen McConnell did everything in his power to prevent confirmation of every nominee. Proudly. Without reservation. And without legitimate cause.

[OC] Why the proposed 3-team group stage for the World Cup is a terrible idea

[OC] Why the proposed 3-team group stage for the World Cup is a terrible idea

FIFA is reportedly "near a consensus" that the first round of the 2026 World Cup should have the following format:

16 groups Each group has 3 teams The top two teams from each group progress Group matches will never end in a draw. Penalties will be used, if necessary, to ensure each match has a winner and a loser.

There are many possible objections to this plan, but I'm going to focus on only one here: the potential for a so-called biscotto. A biscotto is a match in which the two participating teams can collude on a certain result which will benefit both of them.

Example of a biscotto

Perhaps the most famous example of a biscotto was the so-called Disgrace of Gijón. Austria were playing West Germany in the final game of Group 2 of the 1982 World Cup. Before the game, the group table was:

Team P W D L GD Pts Austria 2 2 0 0 +3 4 Algeria 3 2 0 1 0 4 West Germany 2 1 0 1 +2 2 Chile 3 0 0 3 -5 0

(a win was worth two points; ties were broken by overall goal difference).

Because of the situation of the group, a win for West Germany by 1 or 2 goals would mean that both West Germany and Austria would qualify. And that is precisely what happened. To quote from Wikipedia:

After ten minutes of furious attack, West Germany succeeded in scoring through a goal by Horst Hrubesch. After the goal was scored, the team in possession of the ball often passed between themselves in their own half until an opposition player came into the vicinity of the ball, then the ball was then passed back to the goalkeeper. Isolated long balls were played into the opposition's half, with little consequence. There were few tackles, and both sets of players flamboyantly missed with apparently no attempt at accuracy whenever they shot on goal. The only Austrian player who seemed to make any effort at livening the game up was Walter Schachner, though he had little success, while one of the few serious attempts on net was made by Wolfgang Dremmler of West Germany.

This performance was widely deplored by all observers. German ARD commentator Eberhard Stanjek at one point refused to comment on the game any longer. Austrian commentator Robert Seeger bemoaned the spectacle and actually requested that the viewers should switch off their television sets. George Vecsey, a New York Times journalist writing in the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, stated that the teams "seemed to work in concert", though added that proving such would be impossible.[4] El Comercio, the local newspaper, printed the match report in its crime section.[7]

Likewise, many spectators were not impressed and voiced their disgust with the players. Chants of "Fuera, fuera" ("Out, out"), "Argelia, Argelia" ("Algeria, Algeria"), and "Que se besen, que se besen" ("Let them kiss, let them kiss") were screamed by the appalled Spanish crowd,[8] while angry Algerian supporters waved banknotes at the players. The match was criticized even by the German and Austrian fans who had hoped for a hot rematch of the 1978 World Cup match, the so-called "Miracle of Córdoba", in which Austria had beaten West Germany; one German fan burned the national flag in protest.[9][10]

The final table was:

Team P W D L GD Pts West Germany (Progressed) 3 2 0 1 +3 4 Austria (Progressed) 2 2 0 1 +2 4 Algeria (Eliminated) 3 2 0 1 0 4 Chile (Eliminated) 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Note that this biscotto was possible only because Algeria had played its final game (a 3-2 win over Chile) the previous day. Because Austria and West Germany already knew Algeria's precise final points and goal difference, they were able to safely agree (explicitly or implicitly) on a scoreline that would benefit both of them. Had Chile's game with Algeria been played simultaneously, this would not have been possible: for example two late goals from Algeria would have eliminated Austria.

In all subsequent World Cups, the last two games of each group stage have been played simulaneously. Biscottos (biscotti?) are impossible under the current World Cup format (four teams in a group, overall goal difference is the first tiebreaker, last two matches played simultaneously).

The proposed three-team groups

The schedule of a three-team group (with teams imaginatively named A, B, and C) is:

Matchday 1: A vs B Matchday 2: A vs C Matchday 3: B vs C

As you can see, the first problem with three is that it's an odd number. Since there are two teams in a game of football, this means that there must be an "odd" team every matchday that doesn't play. Thus the solution FIFA adopted after the 1982 World Cup -- having each team play the final match simultaneously -- can't apply in a three-team group. One team (A in the example above) will miss out on the final matchday, and it is that team that will lose out in a biscotto.

Apparently FIFA justifies penalty shootouts in the first round in order to guard against the possibility of ...:

If each game has a "winner" that guards against teams colluding on a mutually favorable result in the last group games.

However, this is far from being the case, as I'll show below

How a biscotto is possible in the proposed 3-team groups

FIFA is suggesting that all matches will have a winner and a loser. I'm going to assume that we keep 3 points for a win (although it really makes no difference if draws aren't possible: the result will be the same whether a win is worth 1 point or 100 points).

Detailed example Matchday 1: A beats B 1-0 Matchday 2: C beats A 2-0

We then have the following table before the final game:

Team P W D L GD Pts C 1 1 0 0 +2 3 A 2 1 0 1 -1 3 B 1 1 0 0 -1 0

In the final game, B plays C. C agrees (implicitly or explicitly) to allow B to win 1-0, resulting in the following final table:

Team P W D L GD Pts C (Progressed) 2 1 0 1 +1 3 B (Progressed) 2 1 0 1 0 3 A (Eliminated) 2 1 0 1 -1 3

As we can see, C and B have taken advantage of playing the last game to ensure that they both progress at the expense of A.

How likely is this to happen?

A moment's thought should demonstrate that the example above could have happened equally with C and B reversed. In fact, a biscotto happens whenever team A finishes with one win, one loss, and a zero or negative goal difference. Just for fun, I'll illustrate that with a set of results where every game is decided by a penalty shootout (also demonstrating the inanity of FIFA's claim that penalty shootouts will eliminate the biscotto):

Matchday 1: A draws with B 0-0 (A wins on penalties) Matchday 2: C draws with A 0-0 (C wins on penalties) Matchday 3: B draws with C 1-1 (B wins on penalties) Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts B (Progressed) 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3 C (Progressed) 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3 A (Eliminated) 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 3

A quick back-of-the-envelope calculation suggests that, if all teams are of equal quality, we should expect to see this situation somewhere between 1/4 and 1/2 of the time. In reality, where teams are not of equal quality, it is somewhat less likely than this (team A could be much better or worse than the others, and thus finish with two wins or two losses), but nevertheless remains a clear possibility.

TL:DR: One thing FIFA has done successfully in recent years is eliminate the possibility of the biscotto in World Cups since 1986. The proposed 3-team group stage is a step backwards into a world where the biscotto is not only possible, but likely to happen in at least one (and probably more) of the proposed 16 groups.

FIFA can fucking do one, if it's not broken don't fix it you wankstains.

Donald Trump Tweets That 'Media Is Fake' After Meryl Streep Urges Press to Address 'Every Outrage'

Donald Trump Tweets That 'Media Is Fake' After Meryl Streep Urges Press to Address 'Every Outrage'
Donald Trump Tweets That 'Media Is Fake' After Meryl Streep Urges Press to Address 'Every Outrage'

Some presidential quotes

"However [political parties] may now and then answer popular ends, they are likely in the course of time and things, to become potent engines, by which cunning, ambitious, and unprincipled men will be enabled to subvert the power of the people and to usurp for themselves the reins of government, destroying afterwards the very engines which have lifted them to unjust dominion."

— George Washington

"When one side only of a story is heard and often repeated, the human mind becomes impressed with it insensibly."

— George Washington

"A president's hardest task is not to do what is right, but to know what is right."

— Lyndon Johnson

"The greatness comes not when things go always good for you, but the greatness comes when you are really tested, when you take some knocks, some disappointments, when sadness comes; because only if you've been in the deepest valley can you ever know how magnificent it is to be on the highest mountain...

Always give your best. Never get discouraged. Never be petty. Always remember: Others may hate you. But those who hate you don't win, unless you hate them. And then, you destroy yourself."

— Richard Nixon

"If national pride is ever justifiable or excusable it is when it springs, not from power or riches, grandeur or glory, but from conviction of national innocence, information, and benevolence."

— John Adams

"Think about every problem, every challenge, we face. The solution to each starts with education."

— George H.W. Bush

"So, first of all, let me assert my firm belief that the only thing we have to fear is fear itself – nameless, unreasoning, unjustified terror which paralyzes needed efforts to convert retreat into advance. In every dark hour of our national life a leadership of frankness and vigor has met with that understanding and support of the people themselves which is essential to victory. "

— Franklin D. Roosevelt

"Every gun that is made, every warship launched, every rocket fired signifies, in the final sense, a theft from those who hunger and are not fed, those who are cold and are not clothed. This world in arms is not spending money alone. It is spending the sweat of its laborers, the genius of its scientists, the hopes of its children.

The cost of one modern heavy bomber is this: a modern brick school in more than 30 cities. It is two electric power plants, each serving a town of 60,000 population. It is two fine, fully equipped hospitals. It is some fifty miles of concrete pavement. We pay for a single fighter plane with a half million bushels of wheat. We pay for a single destroyer with new homes that could have housed more than 8,000 people.

This is, I repeat, the best way of life to be found on the road the world has been taking. This is not a way of life at all, in any true sense. Under the cloud of threatening war, it is humanity hanging from a cross of iron... Is there no other way the world may live?"

— Dwight D. Eisenhower

"To waste, to destroy, our natural resources, to skin and exhaust the land instead of using it so as to increase its usefulness, will result in undermining in the days of our children the very prosperity which we ought by right to hand down to them amplified and developed."

— Theodore Roosevelt

"In the history of mankind many republics have risen, have flourished for a less or greater time, and then have fallen because their citizens lost the power of governing themselves and thereby of governing their state; and in no way has this loss of power been so often and so clearly shown as in the tendency to turn the government into a government primarily for the benefit of one class instead of a government for the benefit of the people as a whole."

— Theodore Roosevelt

"Officeholders are the agents of the people, not their masters. Not only is their time and labor due to the government, but they should scrupulously avoid in their political action, as well as in the discharge of their official duty, offending by a display of obtrusive partisanship their neighbors who have relations with them as public officials."

— Grover Cleveland

"The world has never had a good definition of the word liberty, and the American people, just now, are much in want of one. We all declare for liberty; but in using the same word we do not all mean the same thing. With some the word liberty may mean for each man to do as he pleases with himself, and the product of his labor; while with others, the same word may mean for some men to do as they please with other men, and the product of other men's labor. Here are two, not only different, but incompatible things, called by the same name — liberty. And it follows that each of the things is, by the respective parties, called by two different and incompatible names — liberty and tyranny."

— Abraham Lincoln

"I pity the man who wants a coat so cheap that the man or woman who produces the cloth or shapes it into a garment will starve in the process."

— Benjamin Harrison

"The diffusion of information and arraignment of all abuses at the bar of the public reason; freedom of religion; freedom of the press, and freedom of person under the protection of the habeas corpus, and trial by juries impartially selected. These principles form the bright constellation which has gone before us and guided our steps through an age of revolution and reformation.

The wisdom of our sages and blood of our heroes have been devoted to their attainment. They should be the creed of our political faith, the text of civic instruction, the touchstone by which to try the services of those we trust; and should we wander from them in moments of error or of alarm, let us hasten to retrace our steps and to regain the road which alone leads to peace, liberty, and safety."

— Thomas Jefferson

Media is fake!

— Donald Trump

When someone says "At least Trump will be gone in 4 years!"

When someone says "At least Trump will be gone in 4 years!"

The Dems have absolutely nobody to run in 2020. I hope Pocahontas will be their candidate though. She's almost as unlikeable as Crooked and it's hilarious how badly Donald triggers her.

Plus, imagine the butthurt if Trump defeats two women in a row.

Try one of these subthreads